OUTPICK RESEARCH
How to outperform the index — without becoming a day trader.
Long-form notes on the strategy, the math, and the trades. Written for investors who want their portfolio working harder than VOO but don't want stock picking to become a second job.
ALL ARTICLES
How to beat the S&P 500 without becoming a day trader
Long-term equity research is the third path between VOO and day trading. Here's how a biweekly stock-picking cadence can beat the index without taking over your life.
Apr 7, 2026
How to evaluate a stock picking newsletter (a buyer's checklist)
A buyer's framework for evaluating any stock picking newsletter — what to demand, what to ignore, and the seven red flags long-term investors should walk away from.
Apr 7, 2026
Small cap stocks that beat the S&P 500 (and how we find them)
Small cap stocks that beat the S&P 500 aren't rare — they're systematically overlooked. Here's the academic case, three real holdings, and how we screen.
Apr 7, 2026
How many stocks should you hold to beat the market?
How many stocks should you hold to beat the market? The math says 15-25. Fewer and you take uncompensated risk. More and you become the index.
Apr 7, 2026
Is paying for a stock picking service actually worth it? (the math)
The honest break-even math on paying for stock picks. When the fee earns its keep, when it doesn't, and how to calculate the alpha you actually need.
Apr 7, 2026
Sharpe ratio explained: what it is, why it matters, and what good looks like
What is the Sharpe ratio in investing? A plain-English explainer of the math, what counts as 'good', and why it's the single number every long-term investor should track.
Apr 7, 2026
Alpha vs beta: what active stock picking actually buys you
Alpha vs beta in stock picking, explained without equations. Beta is cheap and indexable. Alpha is rare. Here is how to tell which one you are paying for.
Apr 7, 2026
How to find 10x stocks (and why you only need a few)
How to find 10x stocks for long term investors: the math of asymmetric upside, the patterns we screen for, and a real 5-bagger from our live portfolio.
Apr 7, 2026
Why gold mining stocks are outperforming the S&P 500 in 2026
Gold mining stocks are outperforming the S&P 500 in 2026 by a wide margin. Here's the margin-expansion math behind it and the names we own to play it.
Apr 7, 2026
Argentine equities: the quiet engine of our best trades
Argentine equity ADRs produced four of our best trades in three years. Here's the contrarian thesis, the names, and the lessons on sizing emerging-market trades.
Apr 7, 2026
Walk-forward backtesting explained (and why naive backtests lie)
Walk-forward backtesting, explained. Why most backtests overfit, how walk-forward validation actually works, and how we use it to test the Outpick strategy honestly.
Apr 7, 2026